How often does a ‘Hundred Year Event’ happen?
by Peter Binose
According to Harlequin’s Solicitors, it only happens once in a hundred years.
They said that the World Bank are sending a report in which Christmas floods will be described as a hundred year flood.
Obviously Harlequin do not know what a ‘100 year flood’ actually means.
We need to be aware of a 1 in 100 year event does not mean the probabilities will only happen once in every hundred years. It actually means that it is an event that will happen once in every 100 big cloud bursts or storms. If you had a hundred of those in a day, there are probabilities that such flooding will occur. If it happens in a week, then once a week, if it happens in a year once a year etc. In fact what it means there is a 1% probability of it happening. See here.
There is approximately a 63.4% chance of one or more 100-year floods occurring in any 100-year period.
That means folks, 63 floods in a hundred years, more than one every two years.
“That Buccament Bay Resort is built in a flood plain is a physical fact. There can be no debate.”
Flood years for Buccament Continue reading